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By halftime, Notre Dame was up 28 to 0. ND has been playing at an unbelievably high-level. The Irish should be undefeated. With that being written, NC State has a shot to keep this game close. Great football teams, like all machines, have issues once in a while. The Wolfpack beat ND 10 to 3 last season. I think NC State makes it close. And I get that. But, the trends tell me a different story. Michigan State is 1 and 5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Northwestern is 4 and 1 in their last 5 Big Ten Conference games.
On the surface, Florida should have no shot at upsetting the mighty Georgia Bulldogs. Georgia has been one of the most impressive teams in college football this season. I truly believe this is the week when Georgia fails against the spread if not straight up. The Gators are 6 and 1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. The betting line has already dropped half a point.
Sure, Ohio State has scored 50 points or more in 4 of their 5 wins since the 16 to 31 loss to Oklahoma on Sep. Penn State just throttled Michigan 42 to The Nittany Lions should beat Ohio State straight up in this. I think the 6 points are a gift. The spread is not a static number, so you will notice line moves during the week. Team A may be favored by 3 points on Tuesday and by 4. This indicates more people are betting on them, so Las Vegas increases the underdog value hoping to encourage more wagers on the underdog.
There are times when moneyline wagering is smarter than point-spread wagering and this is why moneylines are growing in popularity. Typically used in baseball and hockey, pro football moneylines are popular in Las Vegas for picking underdogs. The team you choose only has to win the game, not win by a certain number of runs or goals. It's easiest to picture the number sitting in the middle of these two values. It's a simple way to have the risk-reward scenario. In the right circumstance, where you have a small underdog, you can get a very similar bet by risking less and also get a bigger payout by going the moneyline route.
It's a number it feels will encourage just as many bets on the over as the under. If you picked the under
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