Where The Odds Are In Your Favor
The biggest concern for the Seahawks right now has to be the running game. There are 71 players with 30 or more rushes this season, including both Eddie Lacy and Thomas Rawls.
Lacy ranks 67th and Rawls ranks 70th in yards per rush. Ezekiel Elliott has rushed 88 times for yards and four touchdowns the past three games -- a scary-big workload. The Cowboys are riding Elliott, but the prospect of him missing time has to be worrisome.
The Rams are off to one of their best starts in years, but they need to cut down on turnovers in order to keep winning. They've fumbled 15 times this season lost eight of them , which is tied for fourth-most in the NFL, and have a turnover margin of zero. New Orleans' defense is much improved, but it's still not perfect. The Saints are allowing 4. They also allowed rush yards per game over the past two despite facing inexperienced quarterbacks who relied on the run.
Deshaun Watson has been great, but it has to be pretty worrisome that Houston is despite Watson's play. The biggest concern is they've lost three games when scoring 30 or more points this season. They had three such losses in their franchise history prior to this season. Can the Bills keep winning with such little production from their wide receivers? Their receivers rank last in receptions 45 and yards , and eventually Buffalo could need them to make some plays.
Cam Newton takes a lot of the blame for the Panthers' struggles, but the most worrisome aspect of Carolina's offense has been its running game. Panthers backs are averaging 2. The Falcons righted the ship following a three-game losing streak, but the road ahead looks daunting. No team has a remaining strength of schedule more difficult than Atlanta's.
The defense and the running game have been great for the Jaguars, but the elephant in the room has been the play of Blake Bortles. He has a Total QBR below 50, and he's one of four qualified quarterbacks completing fewer than 60 percent of his passes. The Lions have lost three straight games and four of their past five, so there's plenty to be concerned about in Detroit right now.
Matthew Stafford 's performance against the blitz is among the top worries. He has a league-worst 19 Total QBR against the blitz. In the Packers' most recent game, which was at home, they won the turnover battle and rushed for yards. The Packers couldn't win under such favorable circumstances without Aaron Rodgers, so what happens if they turn it over more or can't run the ball? The Broncos' defense is feared, but no one fears their offense right now.
Trevor Siemian has thrown three touchdowns and eight interceptions over the past five weeks, with Denver going in those games. The only thing scarier than his poor performance? His backup is currently Brock Osweiler. The Redskins have lost to the Chiefs, Cowboys and Eagles twice this season. On paper that's not bad, but it has to be concerning they can't beat anyone good.
Case in point, the Redskins are since against teams that are over. The Titans' offense has seemingly been all or nothing, which is a big cause for concern. They've scored 30 or more three times, but only the Browns and 49ers both have been held to 16 or fewer points more times five than Tennessee four. The Bengals have won three of their past four to get them back into the playoff picture, but their upcoming schedule is concerning.
Cincinnati plays its next three on the road -- at the Jaguars, Titans and Broncos -- and they've lost eight straight road games outside of Cleveland.
Look away, Raiders fans. Your team had the fourth-best chances to reach the playoffs prior to the season, according to FPI 55 percent. Since losing five of six, those chances have dipped to 4 percent, which is 13th in the AFC. It's frightening how many ways the Chargers can lose games. Sure, they've won a few close ones recently, but since the start of , they've gone No other team has played as many close games in that time. Joe Flacco 's play hasn't inspired much confidence, as his Total QBR 31 ranks 29th out of 32 qualified passers.
His concussion in Week 8 could put his status in doubt, which could put the Ravens in even more of a bind. It has been a bad stretch for the Bucs, who have dropped four games in a row and five of six. Jameis Winston had lost four games in a row only once in his career prior to this stretch, the last four games of his rookie season. Miami was pegged as a breakout offense in the preseason, so imagine the horror after being shut out for the second time in seven games.
The Dolphins are last in points per game They haven't finished last in either since the merger. The Jets could actually be in the hunt still if they could close out games late. They've been outscored by 56 points in the fourth quarter, second worst in the NFL.
Outside of the running backs, the supporting cast surrounding Mitchell Trubisky on offense hasn't been strong. Trubisky has managed to complete 48 percent of his passes in four starts for yards per game.
No Carson Palmer and no David Johnson. The Jets have not been awful, but they have not overachieved the way the Bills have. The Eagles would have to fall apart completely to blow this one. The Texans now go back to Tom Savage and try to forget the one half of the one game he started, before Watson was rushed into service. Watch this at your own risk. The Jaguars are coming off a bye and a shutout of the same Colts team that the Bengals needed a late pick-six to survive, at home, last week. Leonard Fournette should be back and healthy.
Both teams are coming off a bye. Beathard keeping the seat warm for Garoppollo. The Cardinals barely got by the 49ers in overtime a month ago, so the window is there for the home team to snatch that first win.
It also will be worth watching which Adrian Peterson shows up, the Cardinals debut version yards or the follow-up 21 yards. Possible showdown between a Seahawks defensive front that just added rent-a-sacker Dwight Freeney, and a Washington offensive line missing basically everybody last week against the Cowboys. Also, Duane Brown is expected to slide into the Seattle left tackle spot, without the added pressure of playing for a team owned by a virtual plantation boss.
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